Older, white voters shifting away from Trump, trending toward Democrats: Poll
Older, white, educated US voters who helped Donald Trump win the presidency in 2016 are now trending toward the Democratic Party in such numbers that their ballots could undermine Republican Party candidates in congressional midterm elections in November, according to a new poll.
Nationwide, whites over the age of 60 with college degrees now favor Democrats over Republicans for Congress by a 2-point margin, which could tip the scales in tight congressional races from New Jersey to California, according to Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll.
During the same period in 2016, that same group favored Republicans for Congress by 10 percentage points, the survey and a data analysis of competitive districts shows.
The 12-point swing is one of the largest shifts in support toward Democrats that the Reuters/Ipsos poll has measured over the past two years.
If that trend continues, Republican lawmakers will struggle to maintain their majority in the Senate and the House of Representatives in the November elections, potentially dooming President Trump's legislative agenda.
Older white Americans, regardless of their level of education, have traditionally voted more for Republicans than Democrats.
“The real core for the Republicans is white, older white, and if they’re losing ground there, they’re going to have a tsunami,” said Larry Sabato, a University of Virginia political scientist who closely tracks political races. “If that continues to November, they’re toast (face defeat).”
"I'm a moderate Republican, and yet my party has run away from that, so give me a moderate Democrat," said 63-year-old John Camm, a Republican voter since the administration of former President Richard Nixon.
Camm, an accountant from Tuscon, Arizona, said he is splitting with his party and will likely support a Democrat for Congress in November over access to health insurance as well as the GOP’s recent overhaul of the nation's income tax system.
He is not alone in his worries about healthcare. The number of educated older Americans choosing "healthcare" in the Reuters/Ipsos poll as their top issue nearly tripled over the past two years, from 8 percent to 21 percent.
Trump has repeatedly promised to "repeal and replace" former President Barack Obama's signature effort to offer subsidized health insurance to millions of Americans and expand healthcare to the poor.
Obama, a Democrat, signed the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, into law in 2010.
Trump finished his first year in office in January with the lowest average approval rating of any elected president in his first year, according to polling by Gallup. Trump has averaged just a 39 percent approval rating since his inauguration, the poll found.
Courtesy: Press TV